Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.008166 0.009574 0.011258 0.013451 0.016280 0.019874 0.024907
2025-09-14 0.006125 0.007710 0.009810 0.012898 0.017502 0.024456 0.036533
2025-09-21 0.005164 0.006809 0.009148 0.012893 0.019128 0.029979 0.052923
2025-09-28 0.004659 0.006383 0.008982 0.013470 0.021744 0.038315 0.081842
2025-10-05 0.004402 0.006249 0.009193 0.014665 0.025878 0.052137 0.142771
2025-10-12 0.004076 0.005944 0.009049 0.015171 0.028865 0.065752 0.234290
2025-10-19 0.003703 0.005503 0.008589 0.014941 0.030130 0.075971 0.347762
2025-10-26 0.003443 0.005214 0.008342 0.015071 0.032341 0.091530 0.583613
2025-11-02 0.003176 0.004879 0.007957 0.014811 0.033434 0.104593 0.936938
2025-11-09 0.002879 0.004458 0.007354 0.013935 0.032445 0.108232 1.246862
2025-11-16 0.002640 0.004121 0.006872 0.013251 0.031822 0.113450 1.757374
2025-11-23 0.002515 0.003978 0.006755 0.013414 0.033979 0.136705 4.131550
2025-11-30 0.002328 0.003720 0.006407 0.013022 0.034445 0.153803 10.265241
2025-12-07 0.002149 0.003462 0.006032 0.012501 0.034324 0.168466 32.354291
2025-12-14 0.002033 0.003312 0.005867 0.012496 0.036211 0.205566 2524.795174
2025-12-21 0.001971 0.003261 0.005902 0.013049 0.040800 0.290298 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001952 0.003290 0.006119 0.014193 0.049169 0.497219 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001891 0.003227 0.006115 0.014676 0.054901 0.755784 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001794 0.003084 0.005906 0.014456 0.056594 0.957608 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001724 0.002991 0.005808 0.014580 0.060661 1.399875 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001642 0.002865 0.005613 0.014332 0.062170 1.825648 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001537 0.002685 0.005269 0.013494 0.058980 1.814409 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001449 0.002535 0.004988 0.012840 0.056847 1.897273 NaN